Our Guiding Philosophy

We at Multi-Act, are staunch advocates of the Austrian Economic approach- with a free market and minimal state intervention- a complete contrast to the Keynesian School of Economics

 

Listening to Numbers

A definitive guide to Quantitative strategies that work

 

Sensex Outlook 2017

We apply our GRAF framework to SENSEX Index to showcase how an Investor could objectively evaluate reward vs risk in the broader market and thus take a more informed asset allocation decision.

 

Investment Insights

Explore our resource center to learn what our experts have to say about Moats, Quality of Earnings, Value Investing, Portfolio Management, Capital Preservation and risk-adjusted returns

 

PMS Newsletter – June'2017

Read our newsletter to get insights into how we are thinking currently and to see our philosophy in action.

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Founded in 1997, Multi-Act is led by Prashant K Trivedi, 54, a CFA charter holder, who is also CIO of his family’s office. It employs over 50 people across 2 offices in Mumbai and Pune. The team comprises mainly CAs (the equivalent of CPAs in USA), statisticians and economists.

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“I believe that the major problem hindering families from realizing their Financial Goals is the inherent clash between the structure of the financial services industry, the behavioural biases (of clients and agents), juxtaposed against the actions of Central Banks.”

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Praxeology – The Multi-Act Equity Research Blog

Central Banks, Moral Hazard and the Prospect for Global Markets

Central Banks across the world have frequently used quantitative easing (QE) as a means to introduce greater liquidity into the economy. However, QE has raised the risk of moral hazard: investors will take greater risks, knowing that the potential costs will be borne, in whole or in part, by others. Moreover, QE has increased asset prices, which in turn has severely affected the ‘prospective return’ on all assets.

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The Reasonable Formation of Unreasonable Things

By | What We Are Reading | No Comments

In this article:

It is the most devastating trick investors play on themselves. Realizing that the rise and fall of bubbles does not negate the effectiveness of diversified long-term investing is one of the most powerful understandings an investor can have. And one of the hardest things an investor can do is maintain conviction on a long-term strategy when there’s a changing of the guard between one game and the next.

But a lot of the emotions — excitement, greed, fear, and frustration — stem from not knowing what bubbles are or why they’re happening which is what Minsky’s financial instability hypothesis explores.

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Auto Loan Warning by Fitch

By | What We Are Reading | No Comments

In this article:

With slightly higher yields, subprime auto-loan backed securities were grabbed by institutional investors that manage other people’s money.

Now, almost all indicators of auto lending are flashing red. Negative equity has hit an all-time record. Why is negative equity such a growing phenomenon? Because of the toxic trifecta in the auto industry, now happening. Read on to delve deeper into the insanity of the United States’ auto lending segment.

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why invest in gold

Why Indian Families Must Invest in Gold and Gold Mining Shares

By | Gold, India Equity | No Comments

Gold has been in use as a form of currency or a high value commodity for at least three millennia. Records show that India has had an intense relationship with this glittering metal for almost as long. The picture of an Indian bride is incomplete without her being weighted down by masses of gold jewellery and tales of palaces being inlaid with gold leaf abound.

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Why care about China’s Shadow Banking Crisis?

By | What We Are Reading | No Comments

In this article:

Credit growth is a well-known factor behind bubbles and China’s credit growth in the recent past should be a definite concern. Shadow banking channels (which make traditional reporting obscure) is a further negative. History shows, in many cases, how it ends in the scenario of tightening or loss of confidence among participants walking a tightrope of duration mismatch.

Read on for more insight on shadow banking risks in China.

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Bad News Investor – Buying “Bad” Stocks

By | What We Are Reading | No Comments

In this article:

Bad news investor is a person who invests primarily in stocks of companies that are in news due to bad reasons. But does it make sense? Theoretically it does. You need to be sure as to why your reason for investing in so-called bad stocks is sounder than the reasons of those who are selling.

Cyclical businesses are known to witness regular flows of good and bad news depending on the cycle of their businesses and effects of bad news can be temporary. So what should you do if you hear some bad news about the company whose stock you always wanted to buy? Learn how bad news can actually be good for you here and how to choose what stocks to buy.

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Bad News Investor – Investing on Bad News

 

traditional market conditioning approach

Traditional Market Conditioning: Why We Need to Break Away from It and How

By | Behavioral Finance, Global Equity | No Comments

It is important to remember that all investments are subject to a certain amount of risk. ‘Risk” can simply be defined as the probability of losing whole or part of the sum invested. This probability must be considered before investing. Various tools may be employed to identify investment-worthy stocks such as fundamental analysis, price-to-earnings ratio, technical and quantitative analysis. Fund managers may combine two or more systems to determine the strength of investment.

By and large, traditional investment strategies are based on a fixed percentage mix of stocks, bonds, and cash for varying risk tolerances. It is often the money manager’s job to select the best investment options based on various theories that can be based on the long-term average performance of investment assets. For example, a moderate risk investor is likely to keep fully invested in 60 percent stock and 40 percent bond allocation without taking into consideration the risk. Institutions and fund managers may follow a relative investment approach, which in our opinion, has fundamental flaws as it focuses on short-term horizons and fails to incorporate emerging trends.

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