There is a lot of literature out there on investing that mostly focuses on buying decision. However, you would find very limited discussion on what to do once you have bought i.e. when to sell. Possibly the reason for it could be there is no correct answer to this question. We would like to approach the sell decision through a different route. Thus rather than focusing on when to sell we would like to address this by answering the question – How long to stay invested? We believe if we try to bring in a disciplined approach to our sell decision in addition to the buy decision, we would avoid the behavioural pitfalls that most investors have to go through.
‘A slow sort of country!’ said the Queen. ‘Now, here, you see, it takes all the running you can do, to keep in the same place.
(Through the Looking Glass)
Ultra High Net worth Individuals (UNHIs) and High Net worth Individuals (HNIs) know that successful investing entails diversifying their assets and building portfolios that can handle any form of turmoil in the markets. The secret to this is to build portfolios with assets that are contrary to each other to a certain extent. Prashant Trivedi, Chairman of Multi-Act Trade & Investments Ltd. states “Essentially the way in which the portfolio is constructed is, you give one-fourth to different asset classes – one-fourth to cash (and/or gold), one-fourth to fixed income, one-fourth goes into equity and one-fourth is given to real estate”.
There are gurus and there are finance gurus. Most people approach the markets like a maze or a puzzle expecting to be confused and overwhelmed losing their way in the many alleyways and avenues in the investing world. There are some who are more enlightened when it comes to navigating finance with fresh approaches and successful strategies that serve as guides for others. We’ve put together what we consider to be some of the best investment quotes from these experts! Read More
When discussing portfolio construction with Indian investors, one question that frequently comes up is whether it makes sense for an Indian investor to invest outside of India. Indian equity markets have compounded capital at high double digit rates over the past thirty plus years and with the Indian economy expected to grow at the fastest pace of the large economies globally, investors continue to expect great returns from the Indian equity markets. Why then invest outside India? Read More
“The stock market is the story of cycles and of the human behavior that is responsible for overreactions in both directions.”
– Seth Klarman.
When Warren Buffett famously stated that investing was simple but not easy, he meant that the rules we ought to use in order to make good investment decisions are easy to learn but actually adhering to them is difficult. Disregarding rules while investing cannot be attributed to open rebellion but can be ascribed to the basic human survival instincts that have been ingrained in us since time immemorial. Certain traits favored in the process of Natural Selection and helped our ancestors survive in the jungle actually do not help in the market.
When Warren Buffett stated “It’s far better to buy a wonderful company at a fair price than a fair company at a wonderful price,” he was talking about companies with wide economic moats. The term Economic moat, famously coined by Warren Buffett, refers to the sustainable competitive advantages that immunize a business from competitors – similar to a moat protecting a castle. Mr. Buffett’s investing strategy is to invest in companies with strong economic moats as they are likely to remain successful over a long period of time.
Different types of Economic Moats offer different competitive advantages. Of all the competitive advantages a company can have, network effect is the rarest that is produced but once it occurs, it is likely to last for a long time.
This article originally appeared on Advisor Perspectives.
“Ben felt that what I do now makes sense for my situation. It still has its founding in Graham, but it does have more of a qualitative dimension to it because, for one thing, we manage such large sums of money that you can’t go around and find these relatively small value-price discrepancies anymore. Instead, we have to place larger bets, and that involves looking at more criteria, not all of them quantitative. Ben would say that what I do now makes sense, but he would say that it’s much harder for most people to do.” – Warren Buffett 1 responding on apparent divergence from Graham, emphasis ours.
“The number one idea is to view a stock as an ownership of the business and to judge the staying quality of the business in terms of its competitive advantage. Look for more value in terms of discounted future cash-flow than you are paying for. Move only when you have an advantage.” –Charlie Munger
“Not everything that counts can be counted, and not everything that can be counted counts.” – William Bruce Cameron 2
While cash flows have been used as a guide to indicate the health of a company, just looking at cash flows is not enough. Multi-Act experts conduct an analysis of 3 companies,in the auto parts retailing industry, a highly favoured segment amongst investors and analysts. You’ll see why investing in auto part retailers may not be wise under certain circumstances. As we analyze 3 companies in the following areas, discover fundamental traits that should make investors skeptical:
- Profitability: Margin Cycle
- Cash Flow Generation: Working Capital
- Cash Flow Utilization: Capital Allocation